Politics — 837 live markets
Every live politics market on Polymarket, sorted by lifetime volume. Odds are the leading outcome's implied probability; colour is the 24h move.
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028▼ 2.4pt20%$1.3B
- Republican Presidential Nominee 202849%$688.0M
- Presidential Election Winner 2028▼ 0.1pt23%$684.8M
- Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?▲ 0.4pt96%$277.7M
- Next French Presidential Election▲ 0.5pt32%$119.1M
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?5%$64.7M
- California Governor Election Winner▲ 0.1pt93%$40.7M
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?96%$35.3M
- Los Angeles Mayoral Election▲ 1.0pt68%$13.3M
- Which party will win the House in 2026?88%$9.4M
- María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?▲ 0.5pt25%$6.4M
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place▲ 0.5pt83%$4.7M
- Epstein client list released by...?▲ 0.5pt6%$4.4M
- Which party will win the Senate in 2026?53%$3.9M
- Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner▲ 0.6pt99%$3.7M
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?▲ 2.0pt66%$3.6M
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?▼ 2.0pt36%$3.4M
- Next Prime Minister of Romania?▼ 0.4pt48%$3.3M
- Berlin State Election Winner▼ 5.0pt41%$3.2M
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?3%$3.1M
- Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?26%$2.8M
- Will Tim Walz resign by...?3%$2.6M
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?98%$2.6M
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?59%$2.1M
- South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner▲ 2.1pt85%$1.8M
- Kash Patel out by...?▼ 3.0pt25%$1.7M
- Trump out as President by August 31?▲ 0.1pt100%$1.5M
- Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?▲ 80.0pt100%$1.4M
- Maine Senate Election Winner70%$1.1M
- Insurrection Act invoked by...?18%$1.1M
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?77%$1.1M
- French election called by...?▼ 1.0pt9%$1.1M
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?▲ 0.5pt13%$1.1M
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?▲ 0.3pt98%$1.0M
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...? ▼ 7.0pt31%$974K
- Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?▲ 13.0pt34%$945K
- Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner▲ 0.1pt98%$882K
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?▲ 1.6pt87%$843K
- Weed rescheduled by...?▲ 3.1pt28%$796K
- Texas Senate Election Winner52%$781K
- Quebec General Election Winner▼ 4.5pt70%$761K
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?94%$745K
- How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?▲ 15.5pt29%$688K
- Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?11%$561K
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place▼ 3.5pt58%$537K
- SAVE Act becomes law by...?14%$537K
- Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?96%$528K
- Argentina Presidential Election Winner▲ 1.0pt52%$525K
- Elon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026?▲ 62.0pt70%$519K
- Tim Walz charged by...?4%$511K
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?▼ 1.0pt82%$469K
- Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?▲ 1.1pt96%$465K
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner85%$452K
- Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner▲ 1.0pt76%$448K
- Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?▲ 3.0pt23%$433K
- Who will Trump pardon before 2027?▼ 2.5pt41%$420K
- Michigan Senate Election Winner▼ 1.0pt57%$411K
- ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?▲ 0.5pt88%$404K
- Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?98%$395K
- Alaska Senate Election Winner▲ 0.5pt52%$394K
- Jimmy Lai released by...?2%$379K
- Who will be arrested before 2027?29%$362K
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?▲ 1.5pt13%$354K
- Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner▼ 0.6pt64%$353K
- Lecornu out as French PM by...?▼ 2.5pt25%$342K
- Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?96%$335K
- Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?▼ 0.7pt87%$332K
- Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? ▼ 1.7pt92%$329K
- Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?▲ 25.0pt100%$320K
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory▼ 6.5pt33%$317K
- Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner94%$295K
- Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won77%$294K
- Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?▲ 7.0pt87%$287K
- Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?▲ 3.0pt27%$286K
- 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?▼ 0.2pt95%$285K
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?▲ 2.5pt63%$281K
- São Paulo Governor Election Winner94%$280K
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?▼ 2.0pt70%$269K
- Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?▲ 0.5pt93%$254K
- Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?▲ 1.7pt99%$253K
- Wisconsin Governor Election Winner78%$249K
- Who will Trump endorse?▲ 70.2pt100%$245K
- Next Premier of Quebec72%$243K
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?52%$241K
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?▼ 1.5pt7%$240K
- JD Vance out as VP by...?6%$239K
- FL-06 Republican Primary Winner▼ 0.1pt97%$228K
- Andrew Tate released from custody by...?▲ 0.5pt17%$227K
- Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?98%$221K
- Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner▲ 0.3pt79%$216K
- Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory100%$213K
- Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (0.2% Brackets)▲ 0.2pt98%$213K
- Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory▲ 0.3pt99%$212K
- Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?▲ 0.5pt100%$199K
- Zambia Presidential Election Winner▼ 3.3pt89%$198K
- Michigan Governor Election Winner84%$197K
- Spain snap election called by...?1%$191K
- Nebraska Senate Election Winner 72%$190K
- H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?94%$190K
- Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner▼ 1.2pt93%$189K
TOP 100 OF 837 BY VOLUME · THE GALAXY SHOWS THEM ALL
AS OF Aug 15, 06:30 UTC · ODDS FROM POLYMARKET · NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE