Economy — 236 live markets
Every live economy market on Polymarket, sorted by lifetime volume. Odds are the leading outcome's implied probability; colour is the 24h move.
- Brazil Presidential Election64%$123.1M
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?▼ 0.8pt85%$48.5M
- Fed Decision in September?▲ 2.0pt75%$33.3M
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?▼ 0.4pt2%$20.5M
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?▲ 0.1pt96%$12.1M
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?▲ 0.5pt18%$10.5M
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?▲ 1.0pt56%$8.1M
- Fed rate hike in 2026?▲ 7.0pt56%$7.5M
- IPOs before 2027?100%$7.0M
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?▲ 1.1pt41%$6.8M
- What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?▲ 27.5pt100%$6.2M
- Largest Company end of December 2026?▲ 4.0pt74%$5.9M
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?▼ 7.0pt64%$5.4M
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?▲ 1.0pt87%$3.4M
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?▲ 3.7pt100%$3.3M
- Fed rate cut by...?▲ 1.0pt16%$3.1M
- OpenAI IPO by...?▲ 2.5pt19%$2.7M
- Crude Oil all time high by...?12%$2.5M
- Fed rate hike by...?▼ 0.5pt40%$2.2M
- Macron out by...?▲ 0.1pt5%$2.1M
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?▲ 1.0pt51%$2.1M
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap▼ 0.5pt83%$2.0M
- Largest Company end of August?▲ 0.7pt97%$2.0M
- What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?▲ 0.5pt100%$1.8M
- US recession by end of 2026?93%$1.7M
- Kraken IPO by ___ ?▲ 0.5pt13%$1.6M
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?▲ 2.0pt89%$1.5M
- Anthropic IPO by __?▲ 1.0pt83%$1.5M
- How high will inflation get in 2026?▲ 1.5pt100%$1.4M
- What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?50%$1.3M
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?▲ 0.1pt98%$1.0M
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?▲ 7.0pt87%$995K
- US charges Hormuz fees by...?7%$961K
- Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026▲ 0.5pt70%$883K
- China Annual GDP Growth 202689%$875K
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)▲ 3.5pt75%$739K
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?▲ 95.5pt100%$728K
- Which CEOs will be out before 2027?▲ 74.5pt100%$710K
- Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)▲ 2.5pt58%$704K
- Fed Decision in October?72%$616K
- OKX IPO in 2026?93%$590K
- Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?▲ 1.2pt100%$505K
- How high will US unemployment go in 2026?10%$481K
- What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?▲ 15.5pt100%$451K
- Consensys IPO by ___ ?9%$441K
- Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?▲ 1.0pt22%$434K
- US x Cuba economic deal by...?26%$432K
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)▼ 0.2pt96%$421K
- SpaceX IPO: Who will be on-stage at the Bell Ceremony?▲ 2.9pt100%$370K
- Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?22%$364K
- UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?▲ 0.2pt95%$344K
- 2nd Largest Company end of August?▼ 4.5pt82%$333K
- Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?▲ 0.5pt11%$330K
- Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?3%$323K
- Jerome Powell federally charged by...?▲ 0.1pt3%$318K
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)▲ 12.0pt65%$309K
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap▲ 0.5pt19%$299K
- What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?▲ 18.0pt100%$299K
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?▼ 1.0pt80%$296K
- Bank of Japan Decision in September?▼ 1.0pt79%$291K
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?87%$285K
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?▲ 11.2pt100%$285K
- Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?▲ 1.0pt56%$284K
- 3rd Largest Company end of August?▼ 8.0pt73%$270K
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?89%$270K
- Houthis successfully target shipping on...?▲ 82.5pt100%$232K
- Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31?▼ 0.5pt10%$225K
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?▲ 0.3pt100%$225K
- ECB Interest Rates: September 202687%$221K
- US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?▼ 7.0pt12%$217K
- Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?▲ 3.2pt100%$182K
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?▼ 0.5pt80%$176K
- Largest Company end of September?▲ 1.0pt91%$171K
- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap16%$171K
- Which companies will the US take a stake in?▼ 0.8pt86%$169K
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?▲ 3.5pt52%$167K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?▲ 3.0pt96%$164K
- Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair94%$160K
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?92%$160K
- Bank of England decision in September?90%$158K
- Fed Decision in December?▼ 1.0pt68%$149K
- What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in August 2026?▲ 26.5pt100%$148K
- Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?8%$147K
- Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?24%$147K
- Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap▼ 3.5pt62%$147K
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?▲ 1.0pt95%$137K
- Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?15%$133K
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?▼ 0.5pt75%$111K
- UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?96%$111K
- Eurozone Annual Inflation 202660%$105K
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?▼ 5.5pt12%$102K
- Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?▲ 1.5pt95%$100K
- NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?86%$100K
- Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?▲ 0.1pt97%$99K
- Brazil Annual Inflation 2026▲ 2.0pt58%$94K
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in August 2026?▲ 42.4pt100%$92K
- Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?▼ 0.6pt4%$91K
- Strava IPO Closing Market Cap▲ 0.5pt36%$89K
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap▲ 2.1pt35%$88K
- Bank of Brazil decision in September?▼ 1.0pt83%$88K
TOP 100 OF 236 BY VOLUME · THE GALAXY SHOWS THEM ALL
AS OF Aug 15, 06:30 UTC · ODDS FROM POLYMARKET · NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE